Study: Black voters feel frustration, wary of political action
Black voters increasingly report personal harm from federal policies, but fear hinders political action.

As the next election cycle intensifies, political organizers seeking to mobilize Black voters will have to confront a difficult divide. There is a growing concern that federal policies have not consistently translated into action, particularly among younger voters who distrust institutions and question whether traditional forms of resistance can produce meaningful change. A year-long research effort is offering a detailed picture of how Black Americans are responding to the political moment. Data collected by The Black Opps Project shows a steady climb in the number of Black voters who feel personally hurt by federal policy.
The project, led by HIT Strategies alongside a coalition of organizations including the Coalition of Black Trade Unionists, Way to Win, March on PAC, the Black Economic Alliance, Service Employees International Union, the National Coalition on Black Civic Participation, and the National Association for the Advancement of Colored People (NAACP), ran two phases of research between 2025 and 2026. The research examined economic justice and democracy.

In April 2025, 47% of the survey respondents said President Donald Trump’s policies had hurt them personally. By April 2026, the number of people who were impacted hit 60%. Still, roughly three in ten Black voters, especially men under 50, say the policies have not made much difference in their lives.
“Frankly, that 60% of Black voters said they had never been asked to resist…Movements win elections just like we saw in 2020 after the death of George Floyd and in 2022 after the overturning of Roe v. Wade that mobilized young people across America,” said Terrance Woodbury, president and founding partner at HIT Strategies. “The problem is that in this current resistance movement, whether that be the ICE Out movement or the No Kings movement, or the Defend Democracy movements, we have seen less activation of younger Black voters.”
Three kinds of voters

Both phases of the research sort Black voters into the same three buckets.
In the Democracy phase, one-third are “Defenders” who are already highly active, the other one-third are “Activatables” who feel the urgency but have not acted, and the remaining are “Spectators” who reject that urgency altogether.
The Activatable segment is described as the biggest opportunity, where nearly two-thirds have already taken three or more resistance actions, yet as a group, they still hold back from higher-risk activity.

“The reaction to the Callais [Louisiana v. Callais] decision is that subsequent efforts to eliminate Black seats across the South…Black voters are aware of these things and that it is activating them,” Woodbury said. “The more they are aware that these attacks on Black power are happening, the more activated they become.”
He went on to add that the generational gap between younger Black voters and older Black voters continues to impact participation.
Furthermore, Black voters view Trump and the MAGA movement as primarily responsible for the decline of democracy, while also attributing significant blame to corporations and the judicial system.
“The next generation must be the face of mobilizing black voters,” Woodbury added. “When calls to action come from young voters, they are more likely to mobilize the entire black electorate.”

Reacting to the Louisiana v. Callais case, activist and the president and CEO of the National Coalition on Black Civic Participation, Melanie Campbell, noticed that young Black voters stepped up.
“What’s important is that as we move through the election cycle, we focus on young voters, the largest voting bloc for Black folks and Black women, and the role that we play in moving our communities to the polls,” Campbell said, adding that the messaging around freedom and justice should be emphasized.
Why don’t people act?
Fear tops the list of what keeps people on the sidelines.
Asked to name the top reasons they might not fight back, most voters pointed to the risks of arrest and mob violence, while others doubted that resistance leads to meaningful change.
There is also a leadership gap.
Voters rated Democrats in Congress as responsible for fighting back, but only a third were actually active in doing so. Researchers link this directly to feelings of abandonment.
“The [Supreme Court] decision was an outright attack on the Voting Rights Act, and voters are more determined to show up and vote in the upcoming midterm elections.”
Rev. Terrence L. Melvin, President of the Coalition of Black Trade Unionists
Half of Black voters chose combating racism and injustice, while others cited defending personal rights and family, and defending American democracy itself.
Notably, younger voters are less moved by abstract appeals to “democracy”.
Black Gen Z respondents were less likely than Boomers to prioritize defending democracy, and more than half said they don’t feel obligated to defend a system that “has not worked” for them.
